States Hillary Clinton has Won - What, No Swings?
While doing some research on Texas strategy, a question started bugging me: How many ‘meaningful’ states has Hillary won?
If you go to CNN’s Election Center, you can get a breakdown of just about everything you would need.
Clinton wins: AZ, CA, NM, AR, NY, NJ, TN, MA, NH, NV
By ‘meaningful’ I am referring to states that may be in play in a general election, aka possible swing states. Either Democrat should have no problem winning CA, NY, NJ, MA and NH. Hillary has been emphasizing her wins in ‘big’ states, but we should win those regardless. This leaves Hillary’s winnings as: AZ, NM, AR, TN and NV.
Arizona has gone Democratic once in the last four elections, 1996 to Clinton, but barely.
New Mexico has gone Democratic three of the last four elections, but went to Bush in 2004.
Arkansas, Tennessee and Nevada went to Bush the last two times, but was won by Clinton the two previous times.
Arizona should go to McCain. New Mexico is a bit of a maverick state but often trends Democratic. It could be in play, because of McCain’s appeal to Latinos, but was essentially a wash between Hillary and Barack. Clinton could win Arkansas, her adopted home. Tennessee has shown signs of trending Democratic but would be a fight. Nevada, which was won by Hillary but where Obama collected more delegates, is considered a swing state.
What I am getting at here is that Clinton’s best showings have been in states the Democrats should win hands down. In swing states, it is either close or she loses. (Iowa, Oregon, Colorado, Missouri)
Furthermore, Obama’s strong showing in states such as Louisiana (which went for Bill Clinton twice), South Carolina and Georgia means the south might be in play and his sweep through the Midwest so far further makes his case as the candidate with Swing State appeal.
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She and her campaign people know that perfectly well. She thinks if she keeps telling us long enough that she won the “important” states, we’ll buy it. Not much respect for the American people in the Clinton campaign these days.